文章编辑时间2023.5.25上午10:30分,所有观点不构成任何投资建议!仅供学习交流。
The editorial time is 2023.5.25 a.m. at 10.30 a.m., and all views do not constitute an investment proposal!
周四凌晨2点美联储会议纪要显示,第四季度开始美国经济将出现轻度衰退。考虑到通胀高企,银行业风波及债务上限谈判等议题,官员们对进一步加息与否存分歧(纪要暗示鹰派人数相对较多),并强调要依赖数据,不太可能降息。与会者对未来的政策路径存在较大分歧。
The minutes of the Fed’s meeting on Thursday at 2 a.m. show that the US economy will start with a mild recession in the fourth quarter. Given such issues as high inflation, the banking boom, and debt-ceiling negotiations, officials disagree on whether to raise further interest rates (the summary suggests a relatively large number of eagles) and stress that relying on data is unlikely to reduce interest rates.
纪要公布后,美股、美债收益率短线探底回升,美元指数维持高位震荡。据CME"美联储观察”,美联储6月维持利率不变的概率为65.8%,加息25个基点至5.25%-5.50%区间的概率为34.2%。
Following the announcement of the minutes, the dollar index was maintained by a sharper recovery in the yields of the United States dollar and the United States dollar. According to CME, the Fed observed, the probability of maintaining interest rates constant in June was 65.8 per cent, and the probability of increasing interest rates between 25 basis points and 5.25 per cent and 5.50 per cent was 34.2 per cent.
大饼昨日高点27220附近,低点26080附近。大饼昨日早间向下砸了一波,随后走横盘,在晚间美股开盘后,联动美股走出一波下跌,直接跌破26500支撑,随后开始横盘调整,在今日早间再次下行去测试前低25800一线,目前走出双底形态,短期来看想攻破27500的难度再次加大,目前整体走势有些偏空 。
The big cakes fell down a wave yesterday morning, followed by a roll, and, after the US share opened in the evening, united the US stock out of a wave of decline, fell directly into 26,500, then began to adjust, again down early this morning to test the 25,800 line before it was tested, now out of double-floor form, and again in the short term to try out 27,500, and the overall movement is somewhat lopsided.
日线级别昨日收出阴线,量能并没有跟上,属于无量下跌,布林带开始收口,受布林中轨27200承压,4小时级别布林带开口打开,K线沿布林下轨运行,受布林中轨26800支撑,目前处于双底结构中,若继续下探跌破25800,则将要看到25000,24000,操作上反弹空为主。
The solar-line level, which received the vaginal line yesterday, did not keep up with it. It was an incalculable drop. The Bryn belt began to close, was under pressure from the Boolean track by 27,200, the four-hour-grade Boolin belt opened, the Kline operated along the Boolin track by 26800, was supported by the Boolin track and was currently in a double-deep structure, and if it continued to break down by 25800, it would be 25,000,24000 would be seen, with an operational rebound.
下方关注25000-25200的支撑,上方关注26500-26700压力。建议26500附近轻仓做空,止损放在26800上方,目标26000-25300。25200附近轻仓做多,止损放在24900下方,目标25500-25800。行情变化万千,具体操作以实时策略为主。一颗红心做好两手准备嘉威KDJ四柒伍八零,浮竹提醒切记带好止损止盈
At the bottom, attention is focused on the support of 25,000-25200, and above the pressure of 26500-267000. It is recommended that the light warehouse near 26500 should be empty at the top of 26,800, with targets 26000-25300. At the end of 25,200, the light warehouse should do more, at the bottom of 24,900, with targets 25500-25800. The operation should be based on a real-time strategy.
以太坊昨日高点1854附近,低点1780附近。以太整体走势要强于大饼,昨晚联动美股走出一波下跌,随后横盘调整,在今早再次向下砸了一波,去测试1750一线,此位被触及的次数越多,被砸破的风险也越大。
Etheria was high yesterday at 1854 and low at 1780. The overall trend was stronger than the big cakes, with the United States unit moving out of a wave of decline last night, and then the transversal adjustment, which hit down again this morning to test the 1750 line, the more it was touched and the greater the risk of being broken.
日线级别昨日收出小阴线,量能依然没有跟上,目前受MA120日线支撑,布林带开始收口,KDJ死叉向下,4小时级别布林带开口打开,受布林中轨1830承压。目前以太并没走出震荡区间,操作上高空为主,低多为辅。
The solar-line level, supported by the MA120 line, is still missing yesterday, and the Bryn belt is now closed, KDJ is down, KDJ is down, the four-hour-grade Brinn is open, and is under 1830 pressure from the Boolin track. At the moment, Tai is not out of the tremor zone, and it operates mostly at high altitude, much less.
下方关注1730-1750支撑,上方关注1880-1900压力。建议1815附近轻仓做空,止损放到1850上方,目标1780-1750。回踩1750不破轻仓短多,止损放在1720下方,目标1780-1800。行情变化万千,具体操作以实时策略为主。
At 1730-1750, we focus on the 1880-1900 pressure. At 1815, we recommend that we empty the silo and put the damage above 1850, with target 1780-1750. At 1750, the backsliding is short and the damage is below target 1720. Target 1780-1800.
声明:以上内容均为个人观点,策略仅供参考,不作为投资依据,如有跟进风险自担。返回搜狐,查看更多
Statement: The above is a personal point of view, and the strategy does not serve as a basis for investment, if there is a risk of follow-up. returned to search for more
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