随着股市出现更广泛的风险偏好反弹,比特币价格周一也再度上涨,突破12000美元关键整数关口,创下过去13个月来的最高水平。
As the stock market rebounded with broader risk preferences, Bitcoin prices rose again on Monday, breaking the $12,000 critical integer threshold, reaching the highest level in the past 13 months.
行情数据显示,世界上最大的加密货币隔夜纽约时段上涨5.3%,一度升至12473美元,这是自2019年7月以来的最高水平。比特币现金、莱特币和门罗币等加密货币也出现上涨,彭博银河加密指数(Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index)升至2019年6月以来的最高水平。
Performance data show that the world’s largest encrypted currency rose by 5.3 per cent overnight in New York, once to $12,473, the highest level since July 2019. The number of encrypted currencies, such as Bitcoin cash, Latcoin and Monroe, also rose, with the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index rising to its highest level since June 2019.
2020年迄今,比特币的价格已经飙升了70%。如果从3月份大跌后的低点算起,比特币的价格已经飙升了将近3倍。
So far in 2020, the price of Bitcoin has skyrocketed by 70%. The price of Bitcoin has skyrocketed by almost three times, starting with the low point after the fall in March.
经过今夏大部分时间的盘整交易,随着股市反弹推动标普500指数接近历史新高,比特币也重新焕发了其魔力。许多分析师和币圈拥趸表示,在超低利率环境下,如果价格开始上涨,比特币(以及黄金等其他资产)可以作为通货膨胀的有效对冲工具。
After much of this summer’s round-up trade, and as the stock market rebounded towards its historic height, Bitcoin rekindled its magic. Many analysts and currency crowds suggested that, under ultra-low interest rates, Bitcoin (and other assets such as gold) could serve as an effective hedge against inflation if prices began to rise.
METACO销售和业务发展副总裁Seamus Donoghue称,通胀目前处于低位,但实际收益率普遍为负,而货币刺激/支出促使投资者寻求黄金等通胀对冲工具。鉴于比特币的供应有限,而且越来越多的机构接受它,它可能进一步从寻求通胀对冲的市场中受益。
According to Seamus Donoghue, Vice-President of METACO, Sales and Business Development, inflation is currently low, but the real rate of return is generally negative, while monetary stimulus/expenditure prompts investors to seek inflation hedges such as gold. Given the limited supply of bitcoin and its acceptance by an increasing number of institutions, it may further benefit from markets that seek inflation hedges.
目前,一些华尔街资深人士已对比特币产生了更大的兴趣。亿万富翁、传奇基金经理Paul Tudor Jones近期表示,他一直在央行印钞期间买入比特币,这一言论引起了轩然大波。Galaxy Digital Holdings的创始人(Michael Novogratz上周也对彭博电视表示,他约25%的净资产与比特币捆绑在一起。
A billionaire, Paul Tudor Jones, a legend fund manager, recently stated that he had been buying bitcoin during the Central Bank’s printing of banknotes, which caused a great deal of shock. The founder of Galaxy Digital Holdings (Michael Novogratz) also said on Bloomberg TV last week that about 25% of his net assets were tied to bitcoin.
当前比特币的价位已经很接近去年6月底14000美元附近的高点,但是距离2017年12月20000美元附近的历史高点还有较大距离。在突破12000美元之后,比特币的下一个阻力位将在13000美元上方。
The price of Bitcoin is now very close to the high point near $14,000 at the end of June last year, but it is still a long way from the historic high point near $20,000 in December 2017. After breaking $12,000, Bitcoin’s next drag position will be above $13,000.
技术指标为比特币描绘了积极的前景:比特币的飙升使其逼近了交易轨道线的上轨。虽然突破该水准通常意味着回归均值价格将下跌,但技术面暗示,这次可能不同。14天相对强弱指数(RSI)为69的比特币并未超买,预示未来还会进一步上涨。
Technical indicators paint a positive outlook for Bitcoin: Bitcoin’s spike has brought it closer to the tradable track. While a breakthrough in this level usually means that return to average prices will fall, technology suggests that it may be different this time. The 14-day relative strength and weakness index (RSI) of 69 bitcoins is not overpurchased, and predicts further increases in the future.
NEM交易主管Nicholas Pelecanos表示,“今天的最佳类比或许是大萧条。从危机结束到随后的几年,黄金价格上涨了一倍多,随着通货膨胀而上涨,正是这种宏观经济背景,使得比特币对投资者如此具有吸引力。”
NEM Trade Manager Nicholas Pelicanos said, “The best analogy today is perhaps the Great Depression. From the end of the crisis to the following years, gold prices have more than doubled, rising with inflation, and this is the macroeconomic context that makes bitcoin so attractive to investors.”
事实上,近来与比特币一同上涨的就有黄金价格。有媒体认为比特币和黄金的相关性正在加强,比特币的稳定价格将是黄金的6倍,今年也将成为比特币向“数字黄金”过渡的关键一年。
Indeed, there has been a recent rise in gold prices with bitcoin. The media believe that bitcoin and gold are becoming more relevant, that the price of bitcoin will be six times the price of gold, and that this year will be a crucial year for Bitcoin’s transition to “digital gold.”
Morgan Creek Digital联合创始人之一Anthony Pompliano认为,到2029年底,比特币的市值将会超过黄金。目前比特币目前的市值为2270亿美元,而黄金的市值约为9万亿美元,约为比特币的40倍。
Anthony Pompliano, one of the co-founders of Morgan Creek Digital, argues that by the end of 2029, Bitcoin will be worth more than gold. The current market value of Bitcoin is currently $227 billion, while the market value of gold is about $9 trillion, about 40 times that of Bitcoin.
温馨提示:期货市场开盘大面积飘红,沪银期货主力开盘涨超3%,金属期货普遍上扬。具体操作请关注金投网APP,市场瞬息万变,投资需谨慎,操作策略仅供参考。
: futures market opens in large areas, silver futures masters rise by more than 3%, and metal futures rise in general. Please focus on
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