从2021年初至今,可以观察到BTC和bitcoin在Google Trends上的数据表现如下:
From the beginning of 2021 to the present, the data of BTC and Bitcoin on Google Trends can be seen as follows:
对于BTC,在2021年牛市的双高点期间,Google Trends的数据值分别达到了80和44。而今年比特币创新高时则达到了95,目前数据为40。
For BTC, Google Trends reached 80 and 44, respectively, during the two-point height of the cattle market in 2021. This year, Bitcoin was 95 at the height of innovation, and the current figure is 40.
对于bitcoin,2021年双高峰时的数据值分别为77和38,而今年创新高和当前值则分别为51和21。
For bitcoin, the data for the two peaks in 2021 were 77 and 38 respectively, while the high and current values for innovation this year were 51 and 21 respectively.
进一步观察BTC Price的Google Trends,发现在2021年牛市的双高峰时币,其数据值分别为56和30,而今年比特币3月创新高时的数据则达到100,目前则为35。
A further look at Google Trends at BTC Price found that in 2021 the two-time peak of the cattle market had data values of 56 and 30 respectively, while in March this year the figure for Bitcoin was 100 and is now 35.
这代表牛市期间持续的创新高,并不会同步再次让搜寻热度创下高点(第二次新高的搜寻热度可能不比第一次)。也就是说,如果你单纯以搜寻热度下降来判断比特币价格是否已经到顶点的话,并不会是一个具有高参考性的依据。
This represents a continuous high level of innovation during the cattle market, and does not simultaneously create a higher point in search heat (the second new height may not be as high as the first). That is, it would not be a high-referenced basis if you simply judge whether bitcoin prices have reached their peak by the drop in search heat.
比特币现货ETF搜寻值仅为1
bitcoin spot ETF search value only 1
另一方面,美国比特币现货ETF的成功上市是今年比特币新高的一大推手。而从Google Trends数据来看,“Spot Bitcoin ETF”在上市的11日内达到了100的最高热度,但随后热度大幅下滑,目前仅为1。
On the other hand, the successful listing of the United States’ spot ETF in Bitcoin is a major pusher for the new bitcoin this year. And from Google Trends, “ Spot Bitcoin ETF” the highest 100 heat levels in the 11 days of listing, but the subsequent sharp drop in heat is currently only 1.
然而,从5月13日比特币现货ETF再度恢复净流入起算,其搜寻热度已回升至48,反映出市场对比特币现货ETF仍有持续的关注。
However, starting from the resumption of net inflows on 13 May, the search temperature of the spot ETF in Bitcoin has returned to 48, reflecting the continuing concern of the market for the spot ETF in Bitcoin.
在牛市中,高的搜寻热度通常会推动价格上升,表明增加的关注与投资活动。然而,在其他情境下,比如当市场经历不确定性或重大下跌时,搜寻热度也可能会增加、且多次创新高的过程中,搜寻热度也可能会下降,因此投资者若想对市场有全面的分析,还需要考虑其他市场指标和经济因素。
In cattle markets, high search heat tends to drive up prices, indicating increased attention and investment. However, in other contexts, such as when markets experience uncertainty or major declines, search heat may increase and may decline in the course of multiple innovations, so investors need to consider other market indicators and economic factors if they wish to have a comprehensive analysis of the market.
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