又崩盘！一天10万人爆仓28亿元，比特币跌破2万美元，虚拟货币未来走势如何？

　　虚拟货币全线崩溃 

Virtual currency collapse & nbsp;

　　在20000美元点位拉扯一周之后，8月27日，比特币价格急转直下，一日暴跌近900美元，最低跌至19931美元，较4月14日的今年以来最高点64900美元，暴跌超69%。截至发稿，比特币短线回升，暂报200005.22美元。

On 27 August, after a week of puncture at the point of US$ 20,000, Bitcoin prices plunged sharply, falling by nearly US$ 900 a day, down to US$ 19931, up from US$ 64,900, the highest level since this year, on 14 April, and by more than 69 per cent. As of the date of the release, Bitcoin has recovered, provisionally reported US$ 200005.22.

　　据中国证券报报道，币界数据显示，虚拟货币合约一日内共爆仓近28亿元人民币，波及10万人，其中最大单笔爆仓高达1099万美元。

According to the Chinese Securities Agency, currency data show that the virtual currency contract exploded in a single day, amounting to nearly RMB 2.8 billion, affecting 100,000 people, of which the largest single-blank explosion was $10.99 million.

　　图片来源：币界 

Source: Currency & nbsp;

　　Glassnode数据显示，比特币交易活跃地址已创下今年以来新低，比特币的交易活跃度走向今年的底部区间，关注的人数逐渐减少。 

Glassnode data show that the Bitcoin trading active address has been at a low level since this year, with Bitcoin trading activity moving to the bottom of the year, and the number of people of concern decreasing. & nbsp;

　　Alternative.me显示，8月27日，恐慌与贪婪指数为28，恐慌程度较昨日略有下降，等级仍为恐慌。最近一周，比特币市场的恐慌情绪格外严重。 

According to Alternative.me, on August 27, the panic and greed index was 28, with a slight drop in the level of panic compared to yesterday, and the level of panic remained. In the last week, panic in the Bitcoin market was particularly severe.

　　有业内人士认为，由于最近几个月美国股票和加密货币之间的紧密相关性，表明美联储的态度已经渗透到虚拟货币市场，这是近期比特币遭遇抛售的原因。比特币永续期货市场多头头寸的清算也可能加剧这一趋势。 

According to some insiders, the close correlation between US equities and encrypted currencies in recent months suggests that the Fed’s attitude has infiltrated the virtual currency market, which explains the recent sale of bitcoins. The liquidation of the multi-positioned position of Bitcoin’s permanent futures market may also exacerbate this trend.

　　BitMEX前首席执行官Arthur Hayes此前表示，20000美元和1000美元分别代表了比特币和以太坊的价格支撑位，如果被突破，将引发“巨大的抛售压力”。比特币交易所Swan的比特币分析师Sam Callahan也认为，根据此前虚拟货币熊市的经验，比特币可能会从历史高点下跌80%以上。这意味着比特币将跌至13800美元。 

The former CEO of BitMEX, Arthur  Hayes had previously indicated that US$ 20,000 and US$ 1,000, respectively, represented bitcoin and darlin' prices, and that a breakthrough would trigger “ huge selling pressure & & rdquao; Sam , the Bitcoin analyst of Swan on the Bitcoin Exchange; Callahan had also argued that, based on the experience of the former virtual currency bear city, bitcoin could fall by more than 80% from historical heights. This would mean that bitcoin would fall to US$ 13,800. & nbsp;

　　比特币仍有下行空间 

Bitcoin still has floor space & nbsp;

　　2020年12月中旬，价格首次突破2万美元的比特币彻底燃起投资者热情，由此开启了长达一年的暴涨模式，并于2021年11月份一度逼近6.9万美元，创下历史最高价。进入2022年，行情急转直下，比特币价格一路下跌并于6月18日跌破2万美元，击破投资者心理防线，大量的抛售促使比特币价格进一步于6月19日跌破1.8万美元。随后，比特币价格企稳并小幅反弹，在8月中旬反弹至25205高点。 

In mid-December 2020, for the first time, the price of 20,000 dollars in bitcoins completely ignited investor enthusiasm, thus opening a year-long boom, which in November 2021 was close to $690 million, a historic peak. In 2022, the price of bitcoins fell all the way down and fell by $20,000 on June 18, breaking the investor’s psychological defense, and the bulk of the sale caused the price of bitcoins to fall further by $18,000 on June 19. After that, bitcoin prices rebounded and rebounded, rebounding to 25205 points in mid-August.

　　据证券日报报道，中国通信工业协会区块链专委会共同主席、火大教育校长于佳宁对记者表示，当下市场处于美联储加息阶段的探底行情中，美国CPI高企，意味着美联储此前的加息政策并没有有效缓解国内通胀压力，未来或许会采取更激进的政策。美联储后续加息次数、基准利率调节、缩表规模还存在很大的未知性。全球金融市场受到挑战，比特币也由此受到影响。 

According to the Securities Daily News, the co-chair of the China Communications Industry Association’s District Chain Commission and head of fire education in Jia Ning told journalists that the US CPI’s high performance in the current market at the Fed’s interest-raising stage meant that the Fed’s previous interest-raising policy had not effectively eased domestic inflationary pressures and that it might be more aggressive in the future. The Fed’s follow-up interest hikes, benchmark rate adjustments, and the scale of the schematic were still far from known. The global financial markets were challenged, and Bitcoin was affected as well.

　　“很多主流加密资产价格仍由锚定美元的稳定币来体现，受美元政策和美国市场影响较大，某种程度上可以视作美股等主流交易市场的次级市场，如此次比特币暴跌是受美国经济衰退风险影响，从而传导至加密资产市场。”欧易研究院高级研究员赵伟对记者表示。

& & ldquo; many mainstream cryptographic asset prices are still reflected in stable currencies anchored in the United States dollar, influenced more by the dollar policy and the United States market, and can be considered, to some extent, as sub-markets in mainstream trading markets, such as the United States stock market, so that the collapse of bitcoins is influenced by the risks of a recession in the United States that leads to an encrypted asset market. ” and Jo Wei, a senior researcher at the European Institute, said to journalists.

　　“受美联储加息影响，作为波动性较大的加密资产，比特币等虚拟币易受到市场恐慌影响而被抛售。”工信部工互联网区块链重大项目评审专家、北邮科技园元宇宙产业协同创新中心执行主任陈晓华对记者表示，从全球投资市场整体基调行情来看，比特币并未出现明确的回暖信号，价格或进一步下探。于佳宁认为，若美联储采取更严格的加息手段来抑制通胀，后续或进一步下行。 

& & ldquo; influenced by the Federal Reserve interest hikes, virtual currency such as bitcoin is sold as a more volatile encryption asset vulnerable to market panic. & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & &, & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & &, & & & & & & & & & & & & & & &, & & & & & & &, & & & & & & & & &, & & & & & & & & & & & &, & & & & & &, & &,,,, & & & & & & & & &

　　据中国证券报报道，对于接下来虚拟货币的走势，Coinbase预计，今年三季度交易量可能更加疲软，每月平均交易用户可能降低至700万-900万区间。 

According to the Chinese Stock Exchange, Coinbase expects that the volume of transactions may be weaker in the third quarter of this year, with average monthly transactions falling to between 7 million and 9 million. & nbsp;

　　多家虚拟货币投资机构近期均宣布大规模裁员，包括虚拟货币借贷平台BlockFi，虚拟货币交易平台Crypto.com、Gemini，总部位于阿根廷的交易平台Buenbit。其中，Buenbit已于5月份解雇45%的员工。 

A number of virtual money investment institutions have recently announced large-scale layoffs, including a virtual currency lending platform, BlockFi, a virtual currency trading platform, Crypto.com, Gemini, and a Argentine-based trading platform, Buenbit.

　　业界认为，以比特币为代表的虚拟币市场暴跌并不会对全球经济发展造成冲击。于佳宁表示，一方面，加密资产市场总市值不足万亿美元，体量相对较小，难以影响全球经济发展。另一方面，加密资产市场和传统金融市场联系较为薄弱，其波动蔓延至现实经济的可能性不大。 

The industry argued that the collapse of the virtual currency market, represented by bitcoin, would not have an impact on global economic development. On the one hand, Janin said that the total market value of the cryptographic asset market was less than trillion dollars and was relatively small in size, making it difficult to influence global economic development. On the other hand, encryption asset markets and traditional financial markets were less connected, and their volatility was less likely to spread to the real economy.