华夏时报(www.chinatimes.net.cn)记者 赵奕 胡金华 上海报道
Reporter of the Summer Times (www.chinatimes.net.cn)
开年以来,由ChatGPT激起的涟漪,已经变为汹涛骇浪。近日来,微软、谷歌、百度、阿里、京东先后加入战局。然而,就在互联网巨头群雄逐鹿的同时,记者注意到,一款同名虚拟货币也悄悄拿起了“镰刀”。
In recent years, Microsoft, Google, 100 degrees, Ali, and Kyundong have joined the battles. Yet, while the Internet giants are chasing deer, journalists have noticed that a virtual currency of the same name has quietly taken a sickle.
根据CoinGecko显示的数据,近日上线的ChatGPT同名虚拟货币ChatGPT币的发行价格仅0.000611美元,而在其上线仅5个小时后,价格便一路飙升至0.011775美元,涨幅超1800%,随后又迅速回调80%。截至记者发稿,ChatGPT币最新价格为0.001836美元,24小时跌幅为2.81%,较历史高点下滑84.41%。
According to CoinGecko's data, the issuance price of ChatGPT's current online virtual currency, ChatGPT, was only US$0.0000611, whereas after only five hours, prices jumped to US$ 0.011775, up by more than 1,800 per cent, and then quickly returned 80 per cent. As a journalist's release, ChatGPT's latest price was US$0.001836, a 24-hour decline of 2.81 per cent, a decline of 84.41 per cent over historical heights.
除此之外,FET、CNTM、HOOK等与AI概念相关的项目也均出现暴涨。
In addition to this, projects related to the AI concept, such as FET, CNTM, HOOK, etc., have increased dramatically.
中国移动通信联合会元宇宙产业委执行主任于佳宁向《华夏时报》记者表示,较之传统金融市场,加密资产市场体量相对较小。蹭热点的这类币种,其本身价格就非常便宜,一但通过炒作获得了来自其他市场资金的加入,就势必会造成币价的大幅浮动,进而影响到市场的投资情绪,导致价格急速变化。
The Executive Director of the China Mobile Communications Federation's Won-Cosmos Committee stated to the Washington Times journalist that the market for encrypted assets was relatively small compared to the traditional financial markets. The price of such currencies, which were hot spots, was very cheap in itself, but, by gaining access to funds from other markets, it was bound to cause large fluctuations in currency prices, which in turn affected the investment sentiment of the market and led to rapid price changes.
“这种非理性的投机情绪是极度不健康的,可以说,这一类项目的风险都非常高。”于佳宁表示。
“This irrational speculative sentiment is extremely unhealthy, and it can be said that the risks of this type of project are very high.” In Janin, for example.
虚拟货币“专业”增热点
Virtual currency “professional” hotspot
记者注意到,除了同名的ChatGPT币上线外,其他一些与“Chat”名称相关的虚拟货币也出现了不同程度的上涨。以CHAT币为例,截至发稿,CHAT币报0.006969美元,24小时涨幅为44.62%,近一个月涨幅为924.85%。
Journalists note that in addition to the same name ChatGPT, other virtual currencies associated with the name “chat” have increased to varying degrees. In the case of CHAT, for example, CHAT reported US$0.006969, with a 24-hour increase of 44.62% and a recent month’s increase of 924.85%.
此外,一些AI相关概念项目,也同样受到了市场的热捧。一个名为SingularityNET的去中心化人工智能平台和市场,旗下代币AGIX也在近期出现大涨。截至记者发稿,AGIX的最新价格为0.4086美元,24小时内下跌13.72%,近一月内涨幅为538.61%。
A decentralised artificial intelligence platform and market called SingularityNET has also seen a recent surge in AGIX. The latest price of AGIIX was 0.4086 and 13.72% in 24 hours, with an increase of 538.61% in the last month.
除此之外,FET、CNTM、HOOK等与AI概念相关的项目也出现暴涨。其中,FET最新报价为0.4151美元,近一个月内涨幅157.04%;CNTM最新价格为0.1463美元,近一个月内涨幅62.57%;HOOK最新价格为2.6815美元,近一个月涨幅为86.1%。
In addition, projects related to the AI concept, such as FET, CNTM, HOOK and others, have risen sharply. Of this, FET’s latest offer was $0.4151, an increase of 157.04 per cent over the past month; CNTM’s latest price was $0.1463, an increase of 62.57 per cent over the previous month; HOOK’s latest price was $2.6815, an increase of 86.1 per cent over the previous month.
北京社科院研究员王鹏向《华夏时报》记者表示,这些蹭热点的虚拟货币,缺乏底层技术和底层资产的支持,仅仅是依托于新闻热点带来的供需关系进行炒作。同时,其具有很强的金融衍生品属性,没有涨跌幅限制、交易时限,甚至没有中心治理结构及监管部门的把关,在这种情况下,对虚拟货币的投资,风险极大。
Researcher Wang Peng of the Beijing Academy of Social Sciences stated to the Washington Times that these hotspots of virtual currency, which lack the support of bottom technology and bottom assets, are merely based on the supply-demand relationship brought about by news flashpoints. At the same time, they have strong financial derivative properties, no boom-and-drop limits, trading times, or even central governance structures and regulators, in which case investment in virtual money is at great risk.
事实上,虚拟货币是蹭热度的“老手”了,此前,新冠疫情在全球肆虐,一款与新冠毒株“奥密克戎”同名的加密货币Omicron被疯狂炒作,短期内一度暴涨超900%,随后又经历直线跳水。截至目前,该加密货币已经停止交易。
In fact, the virtual currency is a “older” in heat, following the global epidemic of the new crown, the frenzy of Omicron, an encrypted currency named the new crowned "Omicone", which rose by more than 900 per cent in a short period of time, followed by a straight jump. To date, the encoded currency has stopped trading.
而因Netflix网剧《鱿鱼游戏》的爆火,一款名为“鱿鱼币”的加密货币也随之上线,上线即开启了暴涨模式,曾在一周内最高涨幅达2300倍,币价最高至2861.8美元。
As a result of the explosion of Netflix's Netplay Squid Game, an encrypted currency called “squid coin” went online, triggering a surge pattern, with a maximum increase of 2,300 times in a week and up to $2861.8.
直到2021年11月1日,鱿鱼币突然闪崩,5分钟内从每个币2861美元暴跌至0.0007美元,跌幅为99.999976%,几近清零。目前,这款加密货币的网站已经关闭,与其关联的社交媒体账号也都暂停更新。据媒体报道,该项目的发行方目前已经卷款跑路,投资者损失至少达210万美元。
Until November 1, 2021, the squid suddenly collapsed, falling from $2861 to 0.0007 per currency in five minutes, a decline of 99.99976 per cent, close to zero. At present, the encrypted currency website is closed and its associated social media accounts are suspended. According to media reports, the issuer of the project is now on the run, with investors losing at least $2.1 million.
在王鹏看来,加密货币频繁蹭热点,对开发方来说,短时间内能够割一部分韭菜,但是长期来看,并不利于虚拟资产本身的发展,利用割韭菜的方式盈利,未来也有可能“被割”,有可能爆仓,所以作为开发方应该审慎。
In Wang Peng's view, cryptographic currency is often hot spots that enable the developers to cut a portion of their vegetables in a short period of time, but in the long term, it is not conducive to the development of virtual assets themselves, making profits by cutting them, and possibly “cut” in the future, and could explode, so that as a developer it should be prudent.
王鹏表示,从严格意义上说,发行虚拟货币的门槛是比较高的,需要相关的技术基础,底层资产,但是现在在境外发币是非常随意的,没有技术开发能力,没有底层资产的项目比比皆是,甚至还有所谓的“空气币”。
Wang Peng stated that, strictly speaking, the threshold for issuing a virtual currency was higher, requiring a related technological base, lower-level assets, but now it is arbitrary to issue a currency outside the country, without technological development capacity, with projects that do not have lower-level assets ubiquitous and even so-called “air coins”.
“本身其风险就很高,大部分人对虚拟货币的认知又比较匮乏。因此,对于加密货币投资者来说,无论是机构还是个人,都还是要非常谨慎。”王鹏表示。
“The risks are high in themselves, and most people have less knowledge of virtual money. Thus, for encrypted money investors, both institutional and personal, they have to be very careful.” Wang Ping states.
加密寒冬并未走远
Encrypted Winter is not far
开年以来,加密货币市场一改去年的低迷形势。据CryptoCompare的数据,1月份加密货币交易活动全面强劲增长,其中衍生品交易量增长快于现货市场。1月份的衍生品交易量比去年12月增长76.1%,达到2.04万亿美元,这是自2021年1月以来最大的百分比增幅。衍生品交易现在占整个加密货币市场的70.3%,高于去年12月份的68%。
Since the beginning of the year, the crypto-currency market has changed to last year’s lows. According to CryptoCompare, there was a strong overall increase in crypto-currency transactions in January, with the volume of derivatives trading growing faster than in the spot market.
交易活动的大幅增长伴随着加密市场的反弹,比特币和以太坊在1月份分别上涨了40%和32%。因此,不断有人在讨论加密“牛市”即将开启。但事实上,从市场消息上看,近期依旧不断有机构在宣布停止服务或破产,加密寒冬似乎仍在继续。
The huge increase in trading activity was accompanied by a rebound in the crypto market, with Bitcoin and Etheria rising by 40% and 32%, respectively, in January. As a result, discussions are continuing about the opening of the crypto “cow market.”
2月9日,加密货币平台LocalBitcoins正式宣布终止服务,理由是持续的加密货币冬季市场形势严峻。根据其公告,用户将能够在12个月内从LocalBitcoins提取加密资产。同一天,支付公司 Affirm (AFRM)宣布关闭其在2021年牛市期间开始的加密业务。此前,该公司还宣布裁员19%。
On 9 February, the encrypted money platform Local Bitcoins officially announced the termination of the service on the grounds that the continuing situation in the encrypted currency winter market was critical. According to its announcement, users would be able to extract encrypted assets from Local Bitcoins within 12 months. On the same day, the payment company Affirm (AFRM) announced the closure of its encryption operations, which had begun during the cattle market in 2021.
2月7日,比特币ATM运营商Coin Cloud宣布破产,破产文件显示,其拥有5000万至1亿美元的资产,负债1亿美元至5亿美元;该公司有1万名债权人,最大的债权人是Genesis Global Trading,无抵押贷款规模为1亿美元。据了解,该公司在美国和巴西经营着4000多台比特币 ATM。
On 7 February, Coin Cloud, a Bitcoin ATM operator, declared bankrupt. The bankruptcy documents showed that it had assets ranging from $50 million to $100 million and had liabilities ranging from $100 million to $500 million; the company had 10,000 creditors, with the largest creditor being Genesis Global Trading, with an uncollateralized loan size of $100 million. It was known that it operated more than 4,000 bitcoins ATM in the United States and Brazil.
2月2日,DeFi借贷协议Everlend Finance宣布关闭其应用程序平台,Everlend团队已将该平台转为仅提款模式,并敦促用户删除其资产。Everlend 将关闭的原因归结于DeFi借贷参与者面临的流动性紧缩。公告显示,该应用程序将继续运行,直到处理完所有提款。
On 2 February, the DeFi loan agreement, Everlend Finance, announced the closure of its application platform, which the Everlend team has turned into a withdrawal-only model and urged users to delete their assets. Everlend attributed the closure to the liquidity constraints faced by DeFi borrowers. The announcement indicated that the application would continue until all withdrawals were processed.
在于佳宁看来,从全球范围内看,加密资产行业的发展目前仍处于早期阶段,其特征、应用、风险和挑战仍在不断演变当中,目前几乎所有国家都在研究如何去监管加密资产的发行和交易。由于加密市场的风险远远大于合规的传统金融市场风险,因此各国监管收紧对加密资产的监管力度,保护本国投资者的资产安全以及防范金融风险极为必要。
It is in Janin’s view that, globally, the development of the cryptographic asset industry is still at an early stage, that its characteristics, applications, risks, and challenges are still evolving, and that almost all countries are currently studying how to regulate the issuance and trading of encrypted assets. As the risks of encryption markets far outweigh those of traditional financial markets that comply with them, it is essential that countries tighten their regulatory controls on encryption assets, protect the asset security of domestic investors, and guard against financial risks.
“在对加密资产的定位与监管上,鉴于不同资产的设计结构、运行机制和应用场景有所不同,很难一概而论,需要进行穿透分析。”于佳宁如是说。
“In terms of the location and regulation of encrypted assets, it is difficult to generalize and require penetrating analysis, given the different design structures, operating mechanisms and application scenarios of different assets.” In the case of Janin.
具体来看,根据加密资产经济功能和交易实质进行区别定性,大体可以分为三类:一是该加密资产若符合本国法律关于“金融工具”的定义,则应被认定为金融工具并相应纳入金融监管;二是该加密资产若在指定范围内用于支付或交换,符合所在国关于“电子货币”的定义,则该加密资产及其参与主体相应纳入电子货币的监管;三是如果该加密资产仅在一定范围内作为“代币”使用,则可以不被纳入监管范畴。
Specifically, the different characterization based on the economic function of the encrypted asset and the substance of the transaction can be broadly divided into three categories: first, if the encrypted asset meets the definition of “financial instrument” in national law, it should be considered a financial instrument and incorporated into financial regulation accordingly; second, if the encrypted asset is used or exchanged within a specified range and meets the definition of “electronic currency” in the host country, the encrypted asset and its subjects are accordingly included in the regulation of the electronic currency; and third, if the encrypted asset is used as a “demonstrate” only to a certain extent, it may be excluded from regulation.
值得注意的是,加密货币依旧深受犯罪分子的喜爱。据区块链分析公司 Chainalysis 发布的一份报告显示,2022年暗网市场总收入为15亿美元。尽管Hydra市场在4月份受到OFAC的制裁并在美德联合行动中被关闭,但其仍然再次成为2022年收入最高的暗网市场,其次是Mega Darknet Market、Blacksprut Market和OMG!OMG! Market,Hydra的关闭导致整个行业的暗网市场收入下降,所有市场的平均每日收入从关闭前的420万美元下降到关闭后的44.7万美元。
According to a report published by Chainalysis, a block-chain analysis company, the market for the dark net in 2022 had a total revenue of $1.5 billion. Although the market in Hydra had been sanctioned by OFAC in April and closed down in a joint operation in the United States of America, it had once again become the top-income market in 2022, followed by Mega Darknet Market, Blackspruit Market and OMG!OMG!Market, the closure of Hydra, which had led to a decline in income for the black market across the industry, with the average daily income for all markets falling from $4.2 million before the closure to $447,000 after the closure.
而另一边,加密项目正在成为黑客们的天堂。据Dapprader数据显示,2023年1月漏洞利用等区块链攻击事件减少到了11起,造成总损失1460万美元。
On the other side, the encryption project is becoming a haven for hackers. Dapprader data show that in January 2023, the number of attacks using the block chain was reduced to 11, resulting in a total loss of $14.6 million.
对此,于佳宁认为,由于加密资产具备匿名性、国际流通性广等特征,因此近些年犯罪分子利用加密资产跨境兑换,将犯罪所得及收益转换成境外法定货币或者财产,已经在一定程度上成为了洗钱犯罪新手段。为此,监管部门还需在反洗钱领域加强监管,避免加密资产沦为洗钱、诈骗、非法集资、地下黑市的工具。
In response, Gianning argued that, because of the anonymity of encrypted assets and the widespread international circulation of such assets, the use of encrypted assets for cross-border exchange by criminals in recent years to convert proceeds of crime and proceeds into offshore legal currency or property has become to some extent a new tool for money-laundering offences. To that end, the regulatory authorities also need to strengthen their controls in the area of money-laundering so as to prevent encrypted assets from becoming instruments of money-laundering, fraud, illicit capital collection, and clandestine black markets.
编辑:徐芸茜 主编:公培佳
查看更多华夏时报文章,参与华夏时报微信互动(微信搜索「华夏时报」或「chinatimes」)
Read more of the summer Times articles and participate in the summer Times micro-interactions ("/span" or "chinatimes
注册有任何问题请添加 微信:MVIP619 拉你进入群
打开微信扫一扫
添加客服
进入交流群
发表评论