期待的新时代却一地鸡毛：比特币减半前后近24小时爆仓达17.85亿人民币

华夏时报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者冉学东 见习记者 王永菲 北京报道

Reporter of Chinatimes.net.cn. Xiaodong, journalist Wang Yongfei, reported in Beijing.

5月12日凌晨3点，币圈依旧热闹，全球都在等待着比特币减半的到来。对于从业者来说，媒体举办着各种全球的直播晚会，矿机公司推出最新矿机和最低的挖矿电价；而对于投资者来说比特币减半前币圈爆仓17.85亿元人民币，直接吸走了他们期待减半暴涨想要投入的资金；对于关注者来说，他们也在迎接数字货币的新时代。

At 3 a.m. on May 12th, the currency ring is still hot, and the world is waiting for the halving of Bitcoin. For practitioners, the media has organized a variety of live global events, with mining companies launching state-of-the-art machines and the lowest price for mining power.

截至5月12日17时，本报记者观察到，根据coinmarketcap统计，比特币市值为2399亿美元，占所有数字货币总市值的67%。

As at 1700 hours on 12 May, journalists in this newspaper observed that, according to coinmarkketcap, the market value of Bitcoin was $23.9 billion, or 67 per cent of the total market value of all digital currencies.

昨夜全球无眠，好像大家都达成了不成文的协议，都没有睡觉，有在聚会就餐中等待的，有在公司电脑前倒计时的，有在家里半夜爬起来关注的，他们都在等待着一件期待已久的事情的降临。这是个小事件，在众多资本市场中不是很多人在关注它，但是在整个币圈、矿圈、链圈来说，这是一个见证历史的大事件，所有人一夜无眠。

Last night's global sleeplessness, as if everyone had reached an unwritten agreement, had not slept, had been waiting at a party, had been counting in front of a company's computer, had been crawling up in the middle of the night, and had been waiting for a long-awaited event. It was a small event, not a lot of people in many capital markets were looking at it, but for the whole currency, the mine, the chain, it was a big event to witness history, and everyone had no sleep at all.

“终于到了630000高度了，第一个6.25个比特币奖励区块被蚂蚁矿池挖出来了，现在是凌晨3:45，还是没有任何睡意。”一个矿工在热闹非凡的某讨论减半的微信群里说道，“几十个微信群在同时聊天，大家都在等待着倒计时，充满了仪式感，迫切地想亲眼见证这场历史。”

“At last to 630,000, the first 6.25 bitcoin incentive blocks were dug out by ant ponds, and it's 3:45 a.m., without any sleepiness.” A miner said in a micro-strategy that halved an extraordinary discussion, “Dozens of micro-messages are talking at the same time, and we are all waiting for the countdown, with a sense of ritualism and a desperate desire to witness the history.”

几乎所有的币圈媒体都在做比特币减半直播或者是比特币减半活动，哪家没请去一个著名币圈大佬都不好意思宣传，“不眠夜，全球共同见证比特币减半”、“说出你和区块链减半的故事”、“BTC减半见证夜”，币圈媒体从业者Opala和本报记者聊道：“观众都不够用了，看看哪家出花招能吸引到观众吧。”

Almost all of the currency circles are broadcasting a half-bitcoin live or a half-bitcoin campaign, and no one who's ever been invited to a well-known ring is ashamed to preach: “No sleep, half the world, half the bitcoin”, “Tell the story of you and the halving of the block chain”, “BTC Half the witness night”, the currency-circle media operator Opala and the newspaper reporter said: “The audience is not enough, let's see which game can attract the audience.”

比特币减半之所以能吸引到全体币圈从业者的目光，最重要的原因还是前两次比特币减半造就了很多的百万千万富翁，第一次减半后比特币价格上涨了8000％，第二次减半后比特币价格上涨了2976%，所以比特币第三次减半所有人都在期待着比特币价格可以再次暴涨，但是历史会重现吗？数字货币分析师Gary和本报记者分析：“比特币价格将会怎么走，从比特币减半前的腥风血雨，我们可以管中窥豹，可见一斑。”

The most important reason why the halving of bitcoins attracts the attention of all the players in the currency circle is also because the first two bitcoins halved millions ofaires, the first one halved by 8,000 per cent and the second half by 2976 per cent, so that for the third time all bitcoins halved by 2976 per cent, everyone expects that bitcoins prices will rise again, but history will reappear. Gary, the digital currency analyst, and this newspaper reporter, analysed: “How will the bitcoins prices go? We can watch the leopards from the bloods that preceded the halving of bitcoins.”

比特币减半前的暴风雨：比特币减半是史上最残酷的一次减半

"Strange" Bitcoin's storm before it was halved: it was one of the cruelest halves in history

Gary认为：“只有当潮水退去，才知道谁在裸泳，比特币减半前价格先是冲高超过1万美金，而后一天5月2日下跌12.57%，造成大量合约爆仓，知名加密货币交易所Coinbase的网页都崩溃了。据AICoin统计，比特币减半前后近24小时爆仓达到17.85亿人民币，被爆的大多是多单。这次减半前的数字货币行情大家都没料想到会这么快就回调。”

According to Gary: “Only when the tides retreated, we knew who was swimming naked, the price of Bitcoin fell by more than $10,000 before it halved, while on the second day of May it fell by 12.57%, resulting in a large number of contract busts and the collapse of the web page of Coinbase, a well-known encrypted currency exchange. According to AICoin, the explosion of Bitcoin nearly 24 hours before it halved amounted to 1,785 million yuan, mostly multiple.

本报记者了解到，数字资产管理公司Capriole Investments负责人Charles Edwards指出，此次比特币减半是史上最残酷的减半。生产成本将增加一倍，达到14000美元，比当前价格高出70%。上一次减半时，价格仅比生产成本低10%。如果现在没有FOMO的话，预计会有大量矿工投降。而本报记者查询了F2pool 鱼池最新数据，基于当前比特币挖矿难度，以非丰水期电价0.38元/度计算，有近7成比特币矿机的日净收益为负。而高算力矿机蚂蚁S19 Pro日净收益为24.71元，神马M30S日净收益仅为12.98元。另外，以丰水期电价0.25元/度计算，有超7成比特币矿机处于盈利状态。其中，蚂蚁S19 Pro日净收益为 34.85元，神马M30S日净收益为23.34元。

According to Charles Edwards, head of the digital asset management company Capriole Investments, the cost of production will be doubled to $14,000, which is 70 per cent higher than the current price. The last time it was halved, the price was only 10 per cent lower than the cost of production. If there was no FOMO, a large number of miners were expected to surrender. The journalist looked at the latest data on the F2pool fish pool, which, based on the difficulty of digging in Bitcoin at the current price of 0.38 yuan/degree of electricity in a non-suffering period, had a net daily gain of nearly 70 per cent of the pit miner. The net gain on a high-calculator, S19 Pro, was $24.71, and the net gain on M30S was only $12.98.

Gary分析道：“《人民日报》最近刚发布了《警惕“虚拟货币”骗局》一文，文章中批评了几类行为：发空气币割韭菜的行为；用虚拟货币翻新资金盘玩法的行为，比如走路就能赚钱，看视频看文章就能赚钱的套路；炒作比特币是真金白银的夸张行为；交易平台刷量造成市场虚假繁荣的行为；传销行为。转眼比特币就这么应验了，爆仓吸血吸走了准备迎接减半行情的十几亿的资金。想起利维摩尔曾经说过的一句话，提防内幕消息、一切内幕消息皆不例外，这让我明白了所有的利好都是用来砸盘的道理。”

Gary's analysis states: “The People's Daily has recently published the article Vigilance of Virtual Currency, which criticizes a few types of behaviour: the act of sending air coins to cut vegetables; the practice of renovating funds in virtual currency, such as walking to make money and watching videos to make money; the preposterous act of making bitcoins; the act of trading platforms to create false prosperity in the market; and the distribution of sales. And that's how it's done, and that's how it's done, that's how it's done, that's how it's done, that's how it's done.

对比特币的价格走势，Gary表示：“回看比特币的前两次减半历史行情，每一次减半前后无论是时间、涨幅、跌幅、消息面都不同，减半后是先跌后涨，还是先涨后跌都是大不相同的，此次减半逢低加仓屯币是投资的大趋势。”

The price trends in Bitcoin, Gary says, “Look back at the history of the first two halves of Bitcoin, every time before and after it was halved, in terms of time, up, down, up, up, up, down.”

比特币减半的历史性时刻，你还清醒吗？比特币减半完成了，你的钱包还鼓吗？

Are you awake at the historic time of halving the bitcoin? Half the bitcoin is done. Is your wallet still drummed?

减半后的新时代开始了

/strang'

F2Pool鱼池最终挖出比特币第三次减半前的最后一个区块（629999），并将纽约时报的文章标题已写入区块中，区块上的文字为NYTimes 09/Apr/2020 With $2.3T Injection, Fed's Plan Far Exceeds Its 2008 Rescue”(《纽约时报》09/ 4 /2020年通过2.3万亿的注资，美联储此次计划远远超过了2008年的救助计划），以致敬中本聪在2009年比特币创世区块里写下泰晤士报头版标题。

The F2Pool fish tank eventually dug out the last block (62999) before Bitcoin was halved for the third time, and the title of the New York Times article was included in the block, with NYTimes 09/Apr-2020

这个区块的挖出也代表了新的时代向每个区块奖励12.5个比特币的时代马上要做出更迭了。

The discovery of this block also represents a new era in which 12.5 bitcoins per block will soon be replaced.

减半后的比特币越来越少了，2020年第一季度，比特币挖矿产出有一半以上被灰度和Square Cash（Twitter CEO Jack的另一个公司）买走了，也就是说，减半之后的产量，估计都不够这两个公司购买了，比特币相比整个资本市场来说市值较小，随着数字货币的被更多的人了解到，比特币巨鲸的数量也越来越多，比特币的稀缺性会越来越明显。

In the first quarter of 2020, more than half of the bitcoins dug up by bitcoins were bought by Greyscale and Square Cash (the other company of Twitter CEO Jack), which means that production after halving is not estimated to be enough for either company, that bitcoins are less marketable than the capital market as a whole, that the number of bitcoins whales is increasing and that the scarcity of bitcoins will become more evident as more people learn that the number of digital currencies is increasing.

Gary向新手投资者提出建议：“我从华尔街回国后，一直在关注数字货币，自己也有投资不少资金，经历过比特币大涨大跌的几年，也没有从数字货币中赚到钱，只不过从刚开始对比特币的一点风吹草动就紧张兮兮的到后来经历312血洗也没有多大心态的波动，我会用更加理性的态度去看待比特币世界。对于还没有入场的或者新的投资者来说，比特币可以关注屯着，但是对于资金不够多的可以先从比较靠谱的山寨币开始投资，不然几万快钱放进BTC对涨跌没什么感觉。”

Gary suggested to the newcomers: “When I returned from Wall Street, I had been looking at digital money, I had invested a lot of money, I had experienced a few years of bitcoin booming and falling, and I didn't earn any money from digital money, except that I was nervous from the beginning of bitcoin and then went through 312 bloodbaths, and I would see the world of bitcoin in a more rational way. For those who have not yet arrived or new investors, bitcoin could be concerned, but for those who have not enough money, I could start investing in more solid mountain mounds, and there would be little sense of going up or down if tens of thousands of quick money were to be put in BTC.”

再次减半后的新时代，会有更多的人去了解中本聪和比特币的白皮书，在时代的巨浪中，所有数字货币从业者和投资者甚至只是关注者都将是新时代的见证者。

In the new era, once again halved, more people will learn about the White Paper of Nakamoto and Bitcoin, and all digital money practitioners and investors will be witnesses to the new era, even those who are only concerned.

责任编辑：孟俊莲 主编：冉学东

Responsible Editor: Mon Jun-Lian, Editor-in-Chief: Peng Xiaodong