对于那些对上涨持怀疑态度的投资者和短期交易者来说,目前的市场趋势似乎将价格维持在一个相对狭窄的范围内。
For investors and short-term traders who have doubts about the rise, current market trends seem to keep prices within a relatively narrow range.
尽管市场情绪普遍看跌,但比特币的交易价格仍然低于 26,000 美元。这主要是因为投资者似乎对市场失去了兴趣,而且即使有一些利好消息,也未能吸引足够的需求来推动价格上升。这种市场停滞不前导致了2023年活跃投资者数量的显著减少。
Despite a general decline in market sentiment, Bitcoin’s transaction prices are still below $26,000. This is mainly because investors seem to have lost interest in the market and, even with some good news, have failed to attract enough demand to drive prices up. This stagnation in the market has led to a significant reduction in the number of active investors in 2023.
一些关键事件也影响了比特币的价格。例如,在美国证券交易委员会(SEC)决定推迟批准比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)之前,有数千枚比特币在交易所之间流动。这一动态引发了价格下跌,表明大型投资者一直在寻找合适的时机来卖出,从而加强了价格的阻力,对短期表现产生了负面影响。
For example, thousands of bitcoins moved between exchanges before the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) decided to postpone approval of the Bitcoin Exchange Trading Fund (ETF). This dynamic triggered price declines, indicating that large investors have been looking for the right time to sell, thus reinforcing price resistance and negatively affecting short-term performance.
然而,一些摩根大通分析师认为,美国证券交易委员会最终会批准几只比特币ETF。然而,在这一决定之前,市场可能会继续面临不确定性和波动性。尽管比特币的短期价格走势仍然不明朗,但数据显示,超过40.53%的比特币供应已经处于闲置状态三年或更长时间。这表明了一些人对比特币的长期潜力持有信心。
However, some Morgan Chase analysts believe that the US Securities and Exchange Commission will eventually approve several bitcoin ETFs. However, before this decision, the market may continue to face uncertainty and volatility. While short-term price movements in bitcoins remain unclear, data show that more than 40.53% of bitcoins are available for three years or more.
目前,比特币的价格似乎在24,800美元至31,000美元之间的狭窄范围内交投。价格已接近支撑水平,可能需要突破某一重要阻力位才能发生显著变动。
At present, the price of Bitcoin appears to be in a narrow range of US$ 24,800 to US$ 31,000. Prices are close to the level of support and may need to break through an important resistance position in order to make a significant change.
以太坊在本月初跌破了1,626美元的重要支撑位,但长期烛台图表显示,有一些买盘支持低位。多头方面正在努力挽救局势,但他们似乎难以实现明显的复苏,这表明需求不够强劲。近几个月来,短期交易者一直在将支撑位视为买入机会,将阻力位视为卖出机会,这导致了中期投资者的疲软参与,价格保持在相对窄幅的交易范围内。
In recent months, short-term traders have seen support as an opportunity to buy, and resistance as an opportunity to sell, leading to weak participation by medium-term investors, with prices remaining relatively narrow.
如果卖方成功将价格拉低至1,600美元以下,可能会有进一步下跌的趋势,潜在目标是1,550美元和1,368美元。另一方面,如果价格突破20日均线(1,684美元),那么可能会出现上涨至1,750美元的机会。
If the seller succeeds in lowering the price below US$1,600, there may be a further downward trend, with a potential target of US$1,550 and US$1,368. On the other hand, if the price breaks through the 20-day average (US$1,684), there may be an opportunity to rise to US$1,750.
总之,需要强调的是,这里提供的信息不构成投资建议。加密货币市场具有高度波动性,因此存在投资风险。投资者应该自行进行研究,并谨慎决策。
In conclusion, it should be stressed that the information provided here does not constitute an investment proposal. The crypto-currency market is highly volatile, and therefore there is investment risk.
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After reading this paper, what do you think?
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Thanks for reading. I'll see you next time!
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