《韭菜的自我修养》读书笔记

资讯 2024-06-25 阅读:51 评论:0
所谓的韭菜指的是交易市场中没赚到钱,甚至赔钱的势单力薄的散户。The so-called cuisine refers to a slender slob that does not earn money in the t...

所谓的韭菜指的是交易市场中没赚到钱,甚至赔钱的势单力薄的散户。

The so-called cuisine refers to a slender slob that does not earn money in the trading market and even pays for it.

他们严重缺乏基本的阅读能力,是那种一辈子东西都不读产品说明书的人。

They have a serious lack of basic reading skills and are people who do not read product instructions for the rest of their lives.

绝大多数韭菜源自于一个相同的原因,他们一进场就开始买买买。

The vast majority of pickles originate from a similar cause, and they start buying and buying as soon as they enter the field.

连你都开始进场的时候,牛市就要结束了。

Even when you're in, the bull market is coming to an end.

到了熊市,等到大家都骂娘的时候,再开始买买买!

When we get to Bear City, we'll start buying and buying when everyone's yelling at her!

比一进场就买买买,更可怕的错误是一进场就把自己的钱花光了。

Even worse than buying and buying as soon as we got in, the mistake was spending all our money on the way in.

翻身机会:虽然被套牢了,但依然有钱,可以慢慢花。于是在其后漫长的熊市,依然有机会降低成本建仓。

The chance to turn around: , though trapped, is still rich and can be spent slowly. So there is still a chance to lower costs in the long after that.

亡羊补牢的韭菜最应该做的事:还有钱的话就慢慢补仓,钱不够的话就在场外拼命赚钱。

The best thing to do to make up for the dead:

投机者拒绝学习,投资者善于学习。

Speculators refuse to study, and investors are good at learning.

只靠打探小道消息,而不自己去研究得出自己的结论,就是一个真正的韭菜。

It is a real pickle that looks only at small stories and does not study its conclusions on its own.

熊市里除了在场外赚钱补仓之外,还能干什么?学习啊!起码要开始锻炼学习的能力。

What else can we do in Bear City besides make money out of the room? Learn! At least start to exercise your ability to learn.

所有的韭菜都认同一个实际上错误的观点:所谓的交易,是一种零和游戏他们完全忽视了交易市场里最大的一个作用力,经济周期,或者通俗点讲就是牛熊交替。

All the pickles share the wrong view: the so-called transaction is a zero-sum game that completely ignores one of the biggest forces in the trading market, the economic cycle

在牛市里,绝大多数人赚钱,在熊市里绝大多数人赔钱,这根本不是零和游戏。

The vast majority of people make money in the cattle market and the vast majority of people in the bear market pay for money, which is not a zero-sum game at all.

赔钱正确的解释很简单:我们买入的时机错了。这是最本质,最合理,最有指导意义的正确解释,是唯一的合理解释。

The correct explanation for the loss is simple: we bought it at the wrong time

无论在什么时候买卖,都是由双方配合完成的。

Whenever the sale is made, it is done with the cooperation of both parties.

本质上来看,一切的交易都是思考不一致的结果。

Essentially, all transactions are the result of inconsistent thinking.

成功的交易者永远是极少数,他们所具备的共同特征就是,他们不为表象所动,他们喜欢探究表象之下的实质。这世上没有人不学习,只不过学习和学习并不一定相同。

Successful traders are always very few, and their common characteristic is that they are not moved by appearances, that they like to explore the essence of appearances. No one in the world does not learn, except that learning and learning are not necessarily the same.

你在错误的时机做了交易决策,那么其最后正确的决策是什么?很简单:等待下一个正确的时机。

You made a trade decision at the wrong time, so what was the last right decision? Simple: waiting for the next right time.

缺乏耐心的本质是缺乏实力。在交易市场里,长期稳定的低成本现金流才是实力。

The essence of impatience is lack of strength. In the trading market, power is long and stable low-cost cash flow

永远要保留一定比例或者起码一定数量的现金,控制仓位。

A percentage, or at least a certain amount of cash, should always be retained and the warehouse controlled.

能不冒险,绝不冒险。即便是必须冒险的时候,也要让傻瓜们冒险,自己在一旁通过观察获得经验。

Do not take risks. Even when it is necessary to take risks, let the fools take risks and gain their own experience by observing.

盯着别人冒险!

降低交易频次,降低降低再降低。

reduces the frequency of transactions and reduces them and decreases them.

在那么短的时间里,突然产生巨大回报的可能性极低极低,捕捉暴涨暴跌,恰恰是最危险的,是火中取栗。频繁交易的结果就是交易手续费累积,累积到吞噬你的所有利润和本金。越是短期的预测,越接近于抛硬币,越是长期的预测,越容易接近真实的逻辑推断。

In such a short period of time, the possibility of suddenly generating a huge return is extremely low, and catching a surge or drop is the most dangerous and dangerous of all. The result of frequent transactions is the accumulation of transaction fees, which consumes all your profits and principal.

李笑来自己定的规矩:涨到十倍之前,就当他不存在。

Li laughs to his own rule: before ten times he doesn't exist.

所谓的韭菜,其实常常并不是被别人割,更多的情况下他们是被自己割。

The so-called pickles are often not cut by others, and in more cases they are cut by themselves.

人是如何变坏的,那人就是如何变傻的,这两个过程的机理完全相同。这个世界没有百分之百的坏人,只有好人和部分坏掉的人。

How people get bad, how people get stupid, the mechanisms of the two processes are exactly the same. There are no bad people in the world, only good people and partially broken people.

若是不小心做错了事,一定要改正,绝对不尝试去做任何形式的合理化。因为做了个愚蠢的决定,而没有努力去纠正思考,不断自主的合理化自己之前的愚蠢,所以人就变傻了。

If you do something wrong accidentally, you must correct it and never try any form of rationalization.

痛苦+反思=进步

调整止损线,降低自己的风险承担

  • 降低每次的交易金额,在总资产的占比
  • 提高自己在场外的赚钱能力
  • 为了增大分母,可行的手段有:

    In order to increase the denominator, it is possible to:

    • 选择更为优质的交易标的
    • 选择最佳的交易时机,比如若干次暴跌之后再买
    • 放长持有时间,比如穿越一次以上的牛熊

    最终李笑来的选择是这样的:

    At the end of the day, Li laughter made the following choice:

    • 我想办法提高场外赚钱的能力,进场的钱就当是丢了
    • 买入之后就不动,不管涨跌,穿越多次牛熊
    1. 早期投资者的失败项目比成功项目多很多倍
    2. 早期投资者由于自己的早期,所以只能成为长期投资者
    3. 早期投资者其实投不进去很多钱
    4. 早期投资者不是谁都能做的,必须有能力投一百个50万的项目,才能去尝试一个50万的项目。

    如果一项能力需要很久才能磨练出来,结论当然是不学了。正确的结论是:学着,但不着急用,等够用了再说。

    If a capacity takes a long time to sharpen, the conclusion is certainly not learned. The correct conclusion is learning, but not rushing, until it's enough.

    进场之后不要动,看上一年之后,再动手买。

    Don't move when you're in, look at the last year and buy it.

    只卖交易量最大的那么一两个或者两三个标的。

    Only one or two, or two or three, of the largest volume of transactions.

    记住,你要有生活,并且生活很重要。要降低交易频率。

    Remember, you have to have a life, and life is important. You have to lower the frequency of transactions.

    FOMO:对丧失机会的极度恐惧。

    FOMO: Extreme fear of loss of opportunity.

    从今天开始更加努力,更加认真的生活!一定要学会自娱自乐

    From now on, try harder and live more seriously. You must learn to enjoy yourself.

    特立独行且正确,才可能产生巨大的交易价值。

    It is unique and correct that the value of the transaction can be enormous.

    投资也好,交易也罢,绝对不能当作全职工作,因为你一旦全职,你就没办法成长了。

    Investment is good, trade is bad, you can't work full-time, because once you're full-time, you can't grow up.

    你必须把大量的时间花在生活上、其他的工作上以及学习上,否则你只能是另外一根韭菜。

    You have to spend a lot of time on life, on other work and on learning, or you're just another pickle.

    投资也好交易也罢,尤其绝对不能当做一个拿薪水打工的工作。

    Investments can also be traded, especially as a wage-earning job.

    韭菜们只喜欢谈趋势,而周期是他们脑子里根本不存在的概念。关注周期以及多个周期背后显现出来的真正趋势,会给你一个全新且更为可靠的世界和视界。

    The pickles only talk about trends, and cycles are concepts that don't exist in their minds. Focusing on cycles and the real trends that emerge from multiple cycles will give you a new and more reliable world and vision.

    走到一定程度之时,你能赚到的钱已经超出了你的能力范围,所以剩下的那些,拿着一年还是拿着两年还是拿着永远有什么区别呢?

    When you get to a certain level, you can earn more than you can, so what's the difference between holding the rest of the year or holding it for two years or forever?

    把握周期最靠谱最不容易出错的方法:仔细观察,体会绝大多数交易者的情绪。控制自己是天下最难的事情,越是简单的原理越是难以遵守。

    The most easy way to handle a cycle is to look closely and feel the mood of the vast majority of traders. Controling yourself is the hardest thing in the world, and the simpler it is, the harder it is to follow.

    1. 熊市里可以随便买买买
    2. 牛市一段时间之后,要开始慎重慎重再慎重。
    3. 在未来,比特币的主导地位将不断下降,甚至可能低至5%以下。
    • 这世界真的需要这东西吗?
    • 他解决了什么原本没有被解决的问题?
    • 去中心化,在这件事儿上真的必要吗?
    • 它真的必须账务公开吗?
    • 账务公开的存在真的会提高它的效率吗?
    • 他在多大程度上更接近一个,去中心化自治公司(DAC)?
    • 如果我们决定投资,那么我们应该用我们资金的多大比例去投资?

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