说起美元,你可能会想到它作为全球主要货币的地位,但现在有一个大新闻。美沙石油美元协议,这个支撑了美元半个世纪的大梁,最近宣布到期,沙特没打算续约。这不仅标志着一个时代的结束,还可能预示着一个全新而又令人震惊的转折——比特币有可能成为美元的新锚定物。想知道这是怎么一回事?
Speaking of dollars, you might think about its status as a major global currency, but now there's a big story. The US$ dollar deal, which supports the dollar for half a century, has recently been announced to expire, and Saudi Arabia does not intend to renew it. Not only does it mark the end of an era, but it may also portend a new and alarming turn – bitcoin could become a new anchor for the dollar.
2024年,一个重磅消息震惊了全球金螈市场:长达50年之久的美沙石油美元协议正式宣告结束。这个消息不仅象征着一个经济协议的终结,更是一个全球金融体系转折点的开始。沙特决定不再与美国续约,这意味着美元失去了其最稳固的支柱之一。
In 2024, a big story shocked the global gold market: the 50-year-old US$50 agreement on oil officially ended. The news not only symbolizes the end of an economic agreement, but also the beginning of a turning point in the global financial system.
美元作为国际主导货币,长期以来依靠石油这个超级大宗商品作为支撑。但现在,沙特的决定直接挑战了这一体系。美国必须迅速找到新的支撑点,否则美元的国际地位可能面临未知的风险。此时,一个意想不到的候选者跃入了众人的视线——比特币。
The US dollar, as an internationally dominant currency, has long relied on oil as a super-large commodity. But now, Saudi decision directly challenges the system.
比特币,这个自诞生以来就被标榜为去中心化的数字货币,似乎正在逐步走向成为美元新的锚定物。尽管有人会怀疑,一个去中心化的数字货币如何可能与美元这样的中心化法币捆绑?但现实是,比特币与美元的联系日益紧密。
Bitcoin, a digital currency that has been labelled decentralized since its inception, seems to be moving towards becoming a new anchor for the dollar. Although some would question how a decentralized digital currency could be tied to a central currency like the dollar.
首先,大部分比特币的购买和交易都是通过美元来完成的。这不仅仅是因为美元的全球流通性,更因为美国本土拥有全球最大的比特币矿机企业和交易平台。这种地缘和技术上的优势让美国在整个比特币领域享有不可小觑的影响力。
First, most of the Bitcoins are purchased and traded in dollars. This is not only because of the global liquidity of the dollar, but also because the United States owns the world’s largest Bitcoin mining and trading platform.
此外,比特币的全球接受度也在不断上升。不论是特朗普还是拜登,两位美国总统在任期内都对比特币表达过不同程度的支持或关注。特朗普甚至自称为“比特币的粉丝”,而拜登的团队则在积极研究数字货币捐赠相关政策。
Both presidents of the United States, Trump and Biden, expressed varying degrees of support or concern during their terms. Trump even called himself a “bitcoin fan,” while Biden’s team was actively studying policies related to digital money donation.
更为关键的是,华尔街的资深投资者们也开始进场。Millennium、Point72和Elliott等大型基金会纷纷涉足比特币ETF,这无疑是对比特币作为投资工具的一种认可。这一系列的动作表明,比特币已经不仅仅是小众投资者的热门话题,而是开始被主流金融市场所接受。
More importantly, senior Wall Street investors are coming in. Large foundations such as Millenium, Point72, and Elliott are involved in the Bitcoin ETF, which is undoubtedly an endorsement of Bitcoin as an investment tool.
随着比特币的崛起,美元与比特币的捆绑似乎成为了一个不可避免的趋势。美国政府和商界都在寻求将比特币合规化,并纳入到美国的金融体系中。这种合规化的努力,不仅能够为比特币的未来发展提供更多的合法性,也为美元找到了一个新的支撑点。
With the rise of Bitcoins, the binding of the dollar and bitcoins seems to be an inevitable trend. Both the US government and the business community are seeking to bring bitcoins into compliance and into the US financial system.
但比特币作为美元的锚定物并非没有争议。比特币的价格波动极大,能源消耗巨大,且缺乏统一的监管框架。这些问题都是比特币在成为主流货币之前必须解决的难题。然而,从另一个角度看,比特币的这些特性——稀缺性、去中心化—也使其在某些方面与黄金相似,而黄金长期以来都是国际储备资产的重要组成部分。
But Bitcoin is not uncontroversial as an anchor for the dollar. Bitcoin prices are highly volatile, energy consumption is huge, and there is a lack of a unified regulatory framework. These are all problems that Bitcoin has to solve before it becomes a mainstream currency.
如果美元成功地以比特币为新锚,其对国际金融体系的影响将是深远的。比特币的全球性和去中心化特质可能会帮助美元在全球外汇储备体系中重新占据一席之地,同时也可能推动区块链技术和AI的进一步结合。
The impact on the international financial system would be far-reaching if the dollar were to succeed in using bitcoin as its new anchor. The global and decentralized character of bitcoin could help the dollar regain its place in the global foreign exchange reserve system, and could also promote further integration of block chain technology and AI.
此外,随着国际金融体系的转变,未来的货币体系可能会更加多元化。这不仅为比特币提供了舞台,也为其他新兴货币如人民币提供了更多的发展机会。在这场全球金融新秩序的形成过程中,各国之间的竞争和合作将更加复杂。
Moreover, with the transformation of the international financial system, the future monetary system may become more diversified. Not only does it provide the stage for Bitcoin, but it also offers more development opportunities for other emerging currencies, such as the renminbi.
在这个震惊金融市场的大消息之后,网络上的讨论也如火如荼。让我们看看网友们是怎么评价这一切的:
In the wake of this shocking news about financial markets, the discussion on the Internet has been rife. Let's see how the online community evaluates all of this:
TommyTechie:
"哥们,这事儿太疯狂了!美元可能要靠比特币撑腰?我得赶紧去研究下怎么买比特币了!"
"Dude, this is crazy. The dollar might have to be backed up by bitcoin. I'm gonna have to study how to buy bitcoin!"
SaraLovesGreen:
"我觉得这挺让人担心的,比特币那么波动,今天值一万,明天可能就跌到五千。这样的货币真的能稳定全球经济吗?"
"I think it's kind of worrying, the bitcoin is so volatile, it's worth 10,000 today, and it could drop to 5,000 tomorrow. Can such a currency really stabilize the global economy?"
FinanceGuru88:
"从长远看,这可能是个好事。比特币是未来,数字货币的时代早晚会来,美元早点适应也是好的。
"This may be a good thing in the long run. Bitcoin is the future, the era of digital money will come sooner or later, and the dollar will adjust sooner or later.
"
EcoWarrior:
"但别忘了比特币挖矿消耗的是巨量电力,这对环境是个大负担。我们真的需要另一种解决方案,更加绿色和可持续的。"
"But don't forget that bitcoin mining consumes huge amounts of electricity, which is a huge burden on the environment. We really need another solution, greener and sustainable."
HistoryBuff1912:
"观察历史,每一种货币的主导地位都有其生命周期。或许,美元和比特币的结合,就是跨入新周期的开始。"
"Look at history, the dominant position of each currency has its life cycle. Perhaps the combination of the dollar and the bitcoin is the beginning of the new cycle."
NancyFromFinance:
"有点搞笑,想当初比特币被看作是边缘投资,现在却可能成为主流。世事难料啊!"
"It's kind of funny, thinking that bitcoin was supposed to be a marginal investment, but now it's gonna be the mainstream. Things don't happen."
CryptoKing:
"大家还是太保守了,比特币未来绝对是大势所趋。美元如果能跟上这波趋势,未尝不是一次超前部署。"
"You're all too conservative. Bitcoin's going to be a big move in the future. If the dollar keeps up with this trend, it's not a forward deployment."
MarketWatcher:
"关键看监管了,比特币如果能在全球范围内得到有效监管,或许真的能成为一个稳定的货币锚。"
"The key to regulation is that bitcoin may really be a stable currency anchor if it is effectively regulated on a global scale."
TechOptimist:
"想想看,如果比特币真的锚定美元,那我们的支付方式、金融系统都可能迎来革命性变化。这是技术进步带来的又一次颠覆。"
"Think, if bitcoin really anchors the dollar, then our payment methods, our financial systems can be revolutionary. This is yet another subversion brought about by technological progress."
SkepticalCitizen:
"还是那句老话,不要把所有鸡蛋放在一个篮子里。比特币或许是未来,但多元化才是王道。"
"Once again, don't put all the eggs in a basket. Bitcoin may be the future, but pluralism is the king's way."
这些热评不仅展示了公众对于美元与比特币可能联姻的不同看法,还反映出人们对未来货币发展趋势的期待与担忧。从激动人心的技术革新到对环境的考虑,从市场的波动性到监管的必要性,每个评论都从不同角度切入,让我们对这个话题有了更全面的理解。这场关于货币未来的大讨论,无疑还会继续下去。
These heat reviews not only reveal different public perceptions of a possible marriage between the dollar and Bitcoin, but also reflect expectations and concerns about future monetary trends. From exciting technological innovations to environmental considerations, from market volatility to the need for regulation, each comment has been drawn from different angles, allowing us to understand the subject more fully.
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