渣打银行预计明年底比特币价格升至12万美元

来源：环球市场播报

Source: Global Markets.

　　渣打银行（Standard Chartered）周一上调了比特币价格预期，预计到2024年底将达到12万美元，几乎是当前价格的四倍。

The Standard Chartered Bank (Standard Chartered) raised its bill on Monday to a projected Bitcoin price of $120,000 by the end of 2024, almost four times the current price.

　　渣打银行的分析师的杰夫·肯德里克（Geoff Kendrick）周一写道：“矿工挖出的每一枚比特币的盈利能力增加，意味着他们可以在保持现金流入的同时减少销售，从而减少比特币的净供应，推高比特币的价格。”

Geoff Kendrick, an analyst at the Chartered Bank, wrote on Monday: “The increase in the profitability of each bitcoin that miners dig up means that they can reduce sales while maintaining cash inflows, thereby reducing the net supply of bitcoin and pushing up the price of bitcoin.”

　　比特币挖矿是一个能源密集型的过程，矿工使用强大的计算机来验证比特币区块链上的交易数据，保持网络运行并获得代币作为奖励。

Bitcoin mining is an energy-intensive process in which miners use powerful computers to validate transactional data in the Bitcoin block chain, maintain network operations and receive a token as an incentive.

　　他们通过向市场出售获得的比特币获利。当比特币价格走高时，矿商可以减少比特币的销售，以弥补成本，并持有更多比特币，因为预期未来价格将会更高。

They gain by selling bitcoin to the market. When bitcoin prices go up, miners can reduce bitcoin sales to cover costs and hold more bitcoins, as future prices are expected to be higher.

　　渣打银行今年4月预测，到明年年底，比特币的价格可能达到每枚10万美元。他们现在表示，这低估了矿工盈利能力提高对减少市场上比特币供应的影响，并预计比特币价格将在今年年底达到5万美元，然后在2024年飙升至12万美元。

The Chartered Bank forecast in April this year that by the end of next year the price of Bitcoin could reach $100,000 per item. They now say that this underestimates the impact of the increased profitability of miners to reduce the supply of bitcoin on the market, and that Bitcoin is expected to reach $50,000 by the end of this year, and then skyrocket to $120,000 by 2024.

　　“按照最近的价格，他们（矿工）一直在出售100%的新开采的比特币；如果达到5万美元，我们认为他们会卖出20-30%。”肯德里克写道。

“According to recent prices, they (miners) have been selling 100 per cent of the newly mined bitcoins; if they reach $50,000, we think they will sell 20-30 per cent.” Kendrick wrote.

　　2024年即将到来的“减半”将加剧供应压力，这是一个预先设定的事件，届时矿工可获得的比特币奖励供应将从每天约900个减少到约450个。它每四年发生一次，使比特币总供应量保持在2100万个代币的上限以下。

The upcoming “half-per-cent” of 2024 will exacerbate the pressure on supply, a predetermined event in which miners will have access to about 900 bitcoin incentives per day down to about 450. It will occur every four years, keeping the total supply of bitcoins below the upper limit of 21 million tokens.