为什么今天比特币价格上涨？

由于现货比特币 ETF 在 1 月 10 日截止日期之前获得批准的可能性越来越大，比特币价格已升至 21 个月高点。

As the spot bitcoin ETF is increasingly likely to be approved by the January 10 deadline, bitcoin prices have risen to a 21-month high point.

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受链上、基本面和技术因素的影响，比特币迎来了 2024 年的爆炸性增长，上涨约 9% 至 45,925 美元，创下 2022 年 4 月以来的最高水平。

, influenced by chain, fundamentals and technological factors, Bitcoin witnessed explosive growth in 2024, rising by about 9 per cent to $45,925, the highest level since April 2022.

最新的价格上涨出现在美国证券交易委员会 (SEC)对多个现货比特币 ETF 申请做出决定之前，该决定可能会在 1 月 4 日开始的官方批准窗口之前进行。

The latest price increases occurred prior to the decision of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on multiple spot Bitcoin ETF applications, which may take place before the official approval window begins in January 4.

例如，芝商所比特币期货数据显示，投资者押注比特币价格上涨。截至 1 月 2 日，这些期货的交易价格比加密货币的现货价格溢价约 1,300 美元。

For example, the Bitcoin futures data of the Secotores show that investors bet on the price increase of bitcoins. As of 2 January, the transaction price of these futures was about US$ 1,300 over the spot price of the encrypted currency.

这种“期货溢价”表明，由于比特币 ETF 可能获得批准，预计需求会增加，因此期货交易员预计 BTC 的价格将会上涨。

this “problem premium” indicates that the future trader expects BTC prices to increase as Bitcoin ETF may be approved.

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比特币的净流量，即流入和流出所有加密货币交易所的比特币之间的差额，今天已变为负值。

The difference between the net flow of bitcoins, i.e. the amount of bitcoins flowing into and out of all encrypted currency exchanges, has become negative today.

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对于现货交易所而言，假设交易者从交易所撤回资金以长期持有，则净流量下降表明购买压力增加。

For spot exchanges, assuming that traders withdraw their funds from the exchange to hold them for long periods of time, the decline in net flows represents an increase in purchasing pressure.

最新的下降延续了自 6 月份（当时贝莱德申请比特币 ETF 现货）以来所有加密货币交易所的余额不断减少的普遍趋势。

The latest decline continues the general trend of declining balances of all encrypted currency exchanges since June, when Beled applied for the Bitcoin ETF spot.

这进一步表明，交易员预计在美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 做出 ETF 决定之前的几天内，比特币价格可能会上涨，并且可能还会在2024 年比特币减半之前出现。?

This further suggests that traders expect Bitcoin prices to rise in the days prior to the ETF decision by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and that it may occur before it is halved in 2024.

比特币今天的价格上涨也是称为上升三角形的上行延续结构的一部分。

The price increases in Bitcoin today are also part of the upward continuation structure known as the rise triangle.

在上升趋势中，当价格果断突破其上部趋势线并上涨至其最大高度后，上升三角形就会消失。

In the upward trend, the rise triangle disappears when prices leapfrog their upper trend line and rise to their maximum height.

截至1月2日，BTC价格已进入上升三角形形态的突破阶段。这意味着 BTC 价格现在正瞄准三角形的主要突破目标，即 50,000 美元以下。

As of 2 January, BTC prices have entered a breakthrough phase of rising triangle patterns. This means that BTC prices are now targeting the main breakthrough goal of the triangle, which is less than $50,000.

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