中新经纬客户端5月2日(魏薇)没有最高,只有更高,这句话用来形容近期比特币的走势再合适不过。刚进入到5月,比特币再次吸引全球投资者的目光。海外多家比特币交易平台的比特币价格突破1万元人民币大关,这也是问世8年以来,比特币首次超过1万元人民币。
By May, Bitcoin had once again attracted the attention of global investors. The price of bitcoins from overseas’s multi-bitcoin trading platform was over 10,000 yuan, the first time in the eight years of existence that bitcoin had exceeded 10,000 yuan.
01
持续上涨,比特币价格首破万元大关
The price of bitcoin is the first to break the $10,000 mark.
中新经纬客户端(微信公众号:jwview)发现,截至发稿时,多家海外比特币交易平台的比特币价格均突破1万元人民币大关。日本比特币交易平台coincheck上的数据显示,截至北京时间5月2日12时45分,比特币价格约为164650日元,约合人民币10125元。
According to data from the Japanese Bitcoin trading platform coincheck, by 2 May Beijing time, at 1245 hours, the price of Bitcoin was approximately 16,650 yen, or about 10125 yuan.
全球最大的比特币交易所之一Bitfinex上,比特币的价格触及1558美元,按照2日人民币对美元中间价6.8956计算,约合人民币10743元。另一家美国比特币交易所coinbase上,比特币价格报1462美元,约合人民币10081元。
Bitfinex, one of the world’s largest bitcoin exchanges, has a price of US$ 1558, roughly US$ 10743, based on the median RMB 6.8956 on 2 days against the dollar. Another United States Bitcoin exchange, Coinbase, has a price of US$ 1,462, or US$ 10081.
受到国外市场价格走高影响,国内比特币也表现强势。国内交易平台火币网行情显示,截至发稿时,比特币盘中最高报价8540.45元;另一家比特币交易平台OKCoin上,截至发稿时最高价格触及8590元。
Foreign market prices are high, and domestic bitcoins are strong. The domestic trading platform’s gunnets show that the highest bid in the bitcoin plate was $8540.45 at the time of publication, and another bitcoin trading platform, OKCoin, reached $8590 at the time of publication.
以火币网比特币价格计算,4月1日比特币收盘价6902.96元,截至发稿,比特币价格涨至8500元,一个月涨幅超20%。
On 1 April, the price of bitcoin in bitcoin was $6902.96. As of the date of issuance, the price of bitcoin had increased to $8,500, or more than 20 per cent per month.
对于近期比特币上涨的原因,Qtum量子链基金会联合创始人及CEO 帅初对中新经纬客户端(微信公众号:jwview)分析道,比特币在全球有越来越多的用户,每天比特币网络处理的交易量大概是 30万笔,每天处理的交易总额大概是4—5亿美元,随着网络效应的扩大,对价格的上涨有一定的影响因素。此外,目前除了比特币之外的其他加密货币,价格都出现了大幅上涨,对比特币的价格也有一定带动作用。
For the reasons for the recent increase in Bitcoin, the co-founder of the Qtum Quantities Chain Foundation and CEO's first analysis of the mid- and new-latitude client (micro-public: jwview) shows that Bitcoin has an increasing number of users worldwide, with a daily volume of transactions handled on the Bitcoin network estimated at 300,000, with a daily total of transactions estimated at 4— and $500 million, which, with the expansion of the network's effects, has had some impact on price increases. Moreover, prices have risen significantly in other encrypted currencies, except Bitco.
苏宁金融研究院研究员邹纯对中新经纬客户端(微信公众号:jwview)表示,近期比特币大涨主要源于三方面因素:一是美国证券交易委员会决定重新审查比特币ETF,这是一个利好消息;二是近期日本确立了比特币的法定支付方式的地位;三是近期国际政治局势的不稳定导致人们的避险情绪上升,上述因素提高了比特币被大众接受的程度,而这正是一种自发形成的比特币上涨的价值核心。
The recent surge in bitcoin, according to Sunning Institute of Financial Studies researcher Zou Jun to mid-latitude clients (Wetwiew: jwview), stems mainly from three factors: first, the decision of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission to re-examine bitcoin ETF, which is good news; secondly, the recent establishment in Japan of the status of Bitcoin as a legal payment modality; and thirdly, the recent instability in the international political situation, which has led to an increase in people's sense of risk avoidance, which has increased the acceptance of bitcoin by the general public, which is at the heart of a spontaneous increase in bitcoin's value.
02
国内外价格差近200美元
The difference between domestic and foreign prices is nearly $200.
中新经纬客户端(微信公众号:jwview)对比发现,比特币在国内外的价格相差较大,为何会有如此大的价格差别?帅初表示,目前国外比特币平均价格已达到1438美元,国内的平均价格为1238美元,国内的价格低于海外价格200美金,主要原因是由于监管方面限制了国内交易所的提币行为,目前国内所有交易所都无法提现比特币。
A comparison of the mid-latitude clientele (the Twitter public: jwview) reveals that Bitcoin has a large difference in domestic and foreign prices, and why there is such a difference? At first glance, the average foreign price of Bitcoin has now reached $1438, the domestic average is $1238, and the domestic price is less than the foreign price of $200, mainly because of regulatory restrictions on the conduct of the domestic exchange to raise the currency, which is not currently available to all domestic exchanges.
邹纯同样认为,考虑到比特币交易所的充值、提现的难度和手续费,各国反洗钱法律对比特币充值提现的限制,以及比特币价格和各国法定货币之间汇率的波动,目前比特币的套利成本和风险都比较高,这导致了各国比特币交易价格的差异。
According to Jun Zou, the current arbitrage costs and risks of Bitcoin are higher, taking into account the full value of the Bitcoin exchange, the difficulty of raising it and the cost of handling it, the limitations of the national anti-money-laundering laws on the charging of the bitcoin and the fluctuations in the exchange rates between the bitcoin price and the legal currencies of each country, which have led to differences in the prices of the bitcoin transactions in different countries.
除了监管方面的因素,帅初列举数字称,目前以人民币计价的比特币日交易额是3500万美金左右,全球比特币日交易额大概是6.8亿美金,人民币市场占全球比特币交易市场的份额仅有5.14%,目前人民币市场对比特币的价格趋势基本上没有影响,也失去了BTC交易的定价权,这也造成了比特币在海内外价格的巨大差异。
In addition to regulatory factors, the Director-General cited figures indicating that the current value of currency transactions in the renminbi is around $35 million per day, that the global value of currency transactions is about $680 million per day, that the renminbi market accounts for only 5.14 per cent of the global market, and that the current price trends in the renminbi market are largely unaffected and that BTC transactions are lost pricing rights, which also contributes to the significant difference in Bitcoin prices, both at sea and abroad.
03
虚拟货币风险大,暴富一不小心变爆仓
Virtual currency is at great risk.
“玩比特币4、5年了,亏了几万元。”某互联网公司测试经理鲁先生向中新经纬客户端(微信公众号:jwview)介绍,他清楚的记得,那是2013年11月,比特币最高涨到8000多元,那时他刚开始投资比特币并没有经验,没想到赶上了比特币牛市的尾巴,追涨杀跌,亏了大部分本钱。
& & & ldquo; playing Bitcoin for four or five years, with a loss of tens of thousands. & & rdquo; Mr. Lu, a test manager for an Internet company, introduced to a mid-latitude client (micro-public: jwview), who clearly remembered that in November 2013 Bitcoin had risen to a maximum of 8,000 polygons, when he had just started investing in Bitcoin without experience and did not expect to catch up with the tail of Bitcoin's cow, chasing and killing and losing most of his money.
不过他并没有放弃,于是他玩起了更刺激的方式——比特币期货,并且追加了20倍杠杆,“当时还幻想着能暴富,没想到比特币的风向突然变了”,鲁先生回忆道,因为期货就是买涨买跌,那时比特币开始暴涨暴跌,押的方向很容易就错了,后来保证金越来越多,就爆仓了。
But he did not give up, so he played a more exciting way — — bitcoin futures, with an additional 20 times leverage, “ also fantasizing that the wind of bitcoin suddenly changed & rdquao; Mr. Lu recalled that the futures were buying up and falling, and that Bitcoin was starting to soar, that it could easily be placed in the wrong direction, and that the bond was increasing, and the warehouse went out.
鲁先生总结自己的投资经验认为,比特币波动比较大,在上涨时没有果断止盈,下跌时也没有止损,才会越亏越多。现在的他,已经懂得见好就收,有盈利就卖出,亏损也耐心等待回调,虽然还没把之前的损失弥补回来,不过也小有斩获。
Mr. Lu, summarizing his investment experience, argued that bitcoin was more volatile, and that the higher the rise, the higher the fall, the greater the loss. Now, he has learned to take it, sold it for profit, and waited patiently for a return, although he has not yet made up for his previous losses, but has achieved little.
关于比特币的暴富传闻不断吸引着投资入场,但是真正暴富的仅是少数,像鲁先生一样的比特币投资者才是市场上的“大多数”。
Rumours about Bitcoin’s violent wealth continue to attract investment, but only a few are really rich. Bitcoin investors like Mr. Roux are the & ldquo; most & rdquo;
比特币暴涨暴跌的轮回不断上演,仅今年前4个月,比特币就出现了2次暴跌。今年1月5日,火币网交易平台显示,比特币价格一度触及8895元,直逼1万元大关。此后,央行检查组先后进驻多家比特币交易平台,就交易平台执行外汇管理、反洗钱等相关金融法律法规、交易场所管理相关规定等情况开展现场检查,引发比特币价格闪崩,1月12日其价格最低报4902.02元,8个交易日跌幅近45%。
In the first four months of this year alone, Bitcoin fell twice. On 5 January, the gunnet trading platform showed that Bitcoin prices once reached $8895, pushing it to 10,000.
经过闪崩之后,在今年2月底,比特币价格再度突破8000元,3月4日最高涨至8420元,3月19日一度跌至6100元附近。
Following the collapse, by the end of February this year, the price of Bitcoin was again exceeded by $8,000, with a peak of $8420 on 4 March and a fall near $6,100 on 19 March.
在邹纯看来,虚拟货币在短期内影响其价格的因素非常多,比如某国政府限制某虚拟货币的交易和流通,则其价格会应声下跌,交易所被黑客攻击也会导致虚拟货币价格下跌等等,这些偶然因素都会影响虚拟货币的价格,因此虚拟货币的价格波动非常剧烈,投资风险很大。(中新经纬APP)
In Jun Zou’s view, there are a number of factors that influence the prices of virtual currencies in the short term, such as a government’s restriction of the transactions and circulation of a virtual currency, which should fall, and a hacking of an exchange, which could lead to a fall in the prices of virtual currencies, all of which, by chance, affect the prices of virtual currencies, so that the price volatility of virtual currencies is very high and the investment risk is high.
(原标题:又错过了几个亿!比特币月涨20%是暴富梦还是风险坑?)
Original title: Missing hundreds of millions more! 20% of Bitcoin's monthly rise is a wild dream or a risk pit?
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